Predictions

ML-powered match predictions for the AFL season.

Tipped: 8/9
Tip Rate: 89%
Season Score: 12 (65)
M.C.G. · 2026-03-12· 17°C23km/h SW
Correct
Carlton1443
75
vs
Richmond1238
71
Predicted
Carlton by 21
Actual
Carlton by 4
Why?
  • •Carlton have the higher ELO rating (1443 vs 1238)
  • •Carlton in strong scoring form recently
  • •Carlton's recent margins favour them
  • •Despite this: Richmond's player impact is a factor
Unavailable
Carlton
  • •Adam Saad
  • •Ashton Moir
  • •Liam Reidy
Richmond
None
M.C.G. · 2026-03-13· 18.5°C20km/h S
Correct
Essendon1315
83
vs
Hawthorn1631
145
Predicted
Hawthorn by 32
Actual
Hawthorn by 62
Why?
  • •Hawthorn have the higher ELO rating (1315 vs 1631)
  • •Hawthorn in strong scoring form recently
  • •Hawthorn's recent margins favour them
  • •Despite this: Essendon significantly higher on the ladder
Unavailable
Essendon
None
Hawthorn
  • •Finn Maginness
  • •Harry Morrison
Docklands · 2026-03-14· 22.2°C10km/h SSE
Correct
Western Bulldogs1658
134
vs
Greater Western Sydney1638
53
Predicted
Western Bulldogs by 18
Actual
Western Bulldogs by 81
Why?
  • •Western Bulldogs have the higher ELO rating (1658 vs 1638)
  • •Western Bulldogs in strong scoring form recently
  • •Western Bulldogs's team cohesion is a factor
Unavailable
Western Bulldogs
  • •Arthur Jones
  • •Jordan Croft
Greater Western Sydney
None
Kardinia Park · 2026-03-14· 21.9°C9km/h E
Correct
Geelong1654
110
vs
Fremantle1591
100
Predicted
Geelong by 14
Actual
Geelong by 10
Why?
  • •Geelong have the higher ELO rating (1654 vs 1591)
  • •Geelong in strong scoring form recently
  • •Geelong's team cohesion is a factor
  • •Despite this: Fremantle's player impact is a factor
Unavailable
Geelong
  • •James Worpel
  • •Mitchell Knevitt
  • •Oliver Henry
Fremantle
None
S.C.G. · 2026-03-14· 22.2°C14km/h E
Correct
Sydney1564
104
vs
Brisbane Lions1711
60
Predicted
Sydney by 14
Actual
Sydney by 44
Why?
  • •Sydney's recent margins favour them
  • •Sydney's player impact is a factor
  • •Sydney's player impact is a factor
  • •Despite this: Brisbane Lions have the higher ELO rating (1564 vs 1711)
Unavailable
Sydney
None
Brisbane Lions
  • •Darcy Gardiner
  • •Harris Andrews
  • •Hugh McCluggage
  • •Logan Morris
  • •Zac Bailey
M.C.G. · 2026-03-14· 21.6°C9km/h S
Incorrect
Collingwood1635
79
vs
Adelaide1631
93
Predicted
Collingwood by 7
Actual
Adelaide by 14
Why?
  • •ELO ratings are a factor in this prediction
  • •Collingwood significantly higher on the ladder
  • •Collingwood's strength of schedule is a factor
  • •Despite this: Adelaide in strong scoring form recently
Injuries
Collingwood
  • •Joel Cochran(Shoulder)
  • •Darcy Moore(Hamstring)
  • •Harry Perryman(Hamstring)
  • •Reef McInnes(Knee)
  • •Will Hayes(Shoulder)
  • •Oscar Steene(Knee)
  • •Jamie Elliott(Knee)
  • •Noah Howes(Shoulder)
Adelaide
  • •Mitchell Hinge(Ankle)
  • •Sid Draper(Jaw)
  • •Isaac Cumming(Hamstring)
  • •Riley Thilthorpe(Suspended)
  • •Izak Rankine(Leg/Calf)
  • •Tyler Welsh(Hamstring)
Docklands · 2026-03-15· 27.1°C7km/h SSE
Correct
North Melbourne1256
113
vs
Port Adelaide1456
67
Predicted
North Melbourne by 9
Actual
North Melbourne by 46
Why?
  • •North Melbourne in strong scoring form recently
  • •North Melbourne's recent margins favour them
  • •North Melbourne's weather adaptation is a factor
  • •Despite this: Port Adelaide have the higher ELO rating (1256 vs 1456)
Injuries
North Melbourne
  • •River Stevens(Knee)
  • •Tom Powell(Hip/Groin)
  • •Jackson Archer(Knee)
  • •Blake Thredgold(Foot)
  • •Luke Urquhart(Knee)
  • •Callum Coleman-Jones(Head)
Port Adelaide
  • •Connor Rozee(Hamstring)
  • •Josh Sinn(Shoulder)
  • •Ollie Lord(Knee)
  • •Jack Lukosius(Hip/Groin)
  • •Sam Powell-Pepper(Knee)
  • •Kane Farrell(Hip/Groin)
  • •Miles Bergman(Toe)
M.C.G. · 2026-03-15· 26.3°C8km/h S
Correct
Melbourne1395
120
vs
St Kilda1435
107
Predicted
Melbourne by 9
Actual
Melbourne by 13
Why?
  • •Melbourne in strong scoring form recently
  • •Melbourne's player impact is a factor
  • •Melbourne's player impact is a factor
  • •Despite this: St Kilda's defensive strength is a factor
Unavailable
Melbourne
None
St Kilda
  • •Rowan Marshall
Carrara · 2026-03-15· 24.9°C17km/h SE
Correct
Gold Coast1601
131
vs
West Coast1149
72
Predicted
Gold Coast by 44
Actual
Gold Coast by 59
Why?
  • •Gold Coast have the higher ELO rating (1601 vs 1149)
  • •Gold Coast's recent margins favour them
  • •Gold Coast in strong scoring form recently
  • •Despite this: West Coast significantly higher on the ladder
Unavailable
Gold Coast
  • •Bailey Humphrey
West Coast
None